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Taiwan's economy heats up, scholars warn export risks loom in second half

30/07/2024 17:01
Editor: Amber Hatfield
Taiwan's National Development Council (NDC) on Monday reported a “red light” economic indicator for June, signaling strong economic activity.  (Photo: National Development Council)
Taiwan's National Development Council (NDC) on Monday reported a “red light” economic indicator for June, signaling strong economic activity. (Photo: National Development Council)

Taiwan&39;s economy in the second half of the year is exports. 

 

National Central University&39;s exports reached USD$39.9 billion, a 23% annual increase due to AI demand. He emphasized that maintaining this growth depends on export performance.

 

Wu highlighted two issues, the first being a significant correction in Taiwan&39;s exports to the U.S. accounted for 23.2% of total exports in the first half, the highest in 24 years. However, rising household debt and a 4.1% unemployment rate in the U.S. suggest declining consumer power, which could impact Taiwan's exports.

 

Wu adds that a potential interest rate cut by the U.S. Federal Reserve could signal a downturn in the U.S. economy. However, it would take three to six months for such a measure to impact demand, meaning short-term benefits for Taiwan's exports are unlikely.

 

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